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Red320
490240.4
1285121.6
1241118.8
Blue260
263488.8
540858.7
654484.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992360100200400500600320260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.61.0
119.8120.8
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
red by 32.8
2634
#12
88.80.1
88.888.8
Auto8.2
Teleop31.6
End49.0
Second
118.81.0
117.0118.0
Auto19.4
Teleop54.2
End45.2
red by 34.2
6544
#16
84.60.1
84.584.6
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End42.1
Third
4902
#28
40.41.2
38.239.4
Auto4.1
Teleop28.7
End7.6
blue by 18.3
5408
#10
58.70.1
58.658.7
Auto5.4
Teleop37.1
End16.2