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Red190
492082.1
496830.8
5885100.9
Blue313
1241118.8
654484.6
263488.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2112440100300400500600190313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.91.0
89.088.0
Auto9.1
Teleop51.3
End40.5
blue by 18.0
118.85.7
93.198.8
Auto19.4
Teleop54.2
End45.2
Second
4920
#20
82.11.0
80.279.2
Auto8.6
Teleop39.1
End34.4
blue by 6.7
2634
#12
88.85.7
56.962.6
Auto8.2
Teleop31.6
End49.0
Third
4968
#26
30.81.7
36.034.3
Auto4.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
blue by 53.8
6544
#16
84.66.3
77.583.8
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed