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Red256
5426100.1
1285121.6
496830.8
Blue255
492082.1
591283.5
490373.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245246180200220260280300320340256255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.61.4
112.9114.3
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
red by 38.1
5912
#18
83.51.6
88.490.0
Auto11.1
Teleop35.8
End36.6
Second
5426
#21
100.11.4
88.489.7
Auto14.3
Teleop46.3
End39.4
red by 18.0
4920
#20
82.11.6
79.280.9
Auto8.6
Teleop39.1
End34.4
Third
4968
#26
30.82.3
34.336.6
Auto4.8
Teleop23.7
End2.3
blue by 43.1
4903
#19
73.91.6
63.064.6
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End31.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed