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Red255
77350.2
1285121.6
184672.1
Blue246
493277.9
654484.6
493887.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209209140160180200220240260280300255246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.63.8
113.7117.5
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
red by 34.5
4938
#14
87.13.1
64.467.5
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End44.5
Second
72.16.4
45.952.3
Auto9.0
Teleop36.1
End27.0
blue by 12.5
6544
#16
84.63.1
86.289.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End42.1
Third
773
#22
50.26.4
38.144.5
Auto7.0
Teleop31.3
End11.8
blue by 27.7
4932
#15
77.95.2
48.653.8
Auto5.0
Teleop33.0
End39.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed