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Red223
33129.8
620244.7
459549.0
Blue285
494081.3
493887.1
772102.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222271100300400500223285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
129.80.3
125.5125.8
Auto19.5
Teleop57.2
End53.1
red by 27.6
772
#1
102.12.3
97.499.7
Auto15.7
Teleop39.5
End47.0
Second
4595
#24
49.00.3
44.945.3
Auto4.5
Teleop28.6
End15.9
blue by 38.0
4938
#14
87.12.3
74.977.2
Auto9.0
Teleop33.6
End44.5
Third
6202
#23
44.70.5
47.447.9
Auto2.1
Teleop27.4
End15.2
blue by 36.6
81.32.3
78.480.6
Auto6.1
Teleop33.8
End41.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed