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Red305
654484.6
490373.9
1285121.6
Blue184
490240.4
610123.6
494081.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288245100200400500305184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.62.5
117.6120.0
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
blue by 2.0
610
#5
123.63.6
124.8121.2
Auto15.5
Teleop57.6
End50.5
Second
6544
#16
84.62.5
80.582.9
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End42.1
red by 3.3
81.33.6
80.677.0
Auto6.1
Teleop33.8
End41.5
Third
4903
#19
73.92.5
70.072.4
Auto9.3
Teleop32.7
End31.9
red by 33.5
4902
#28
40.45.7
33.127.5
Auto4.1
Teleop28.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed