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Red285
263488.8
4917114.9
620244.7
Blue235
4688106.1
184672.1
1285121.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242264100200300400500285235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.91.5
128.3129.8
Auto9.2
Teleop59.3
End46.3
blue by 6.7
121.60.9
114.8113.9
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
Second
2634
#12
88.81.5
55.456.9
Auto8.2
Teleop31.6
End49.0
blue by 17.3
4688
#11
106.10.9
87.786.8
Auto10.2
Teleop45.9
End50.1
Third
6202
#23
44.72.5
49.251.6
Auto2.1
Teleop27.4
End15.2
blue by 27.4
72.11.5
45.744.3
Auto9.0
Teleop36.1
End27.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed