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Red252
633169.9
772102.1
33129.8
Blue445
5426100.1
5885100.9
492082.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352920100200400500600700252445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#3
129.81.3
133.2131.8
Auto19.5
Teleop57.2
End53.1
red by 28.9
100.91.4
100.1101.5
Auto9.1
Teleop51.3
End40.5
Second
772
#1
102.11.3
105.5104.2
Auto15.7
Teleop39.5
End47.0
red by 2.0
5426
#21
100.11.4
99.3100.8
Auto14.3
Teleop46.3
End39.4
Third
6331
#25
69.91.3
73.372.0
Auto9.6
Teleop28.4
End31.9
blue by 12.2
4920
#20
82.11.4
81.482.8
Auto8.6
Teleop39.1
End34.4