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Red262
490240.4
1285121.6
1241118.8
Blue425
4917114.9
610123.6
459549.0
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290306150200250350400450262425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.60.3
120.5120.2
Auto11.4
Teleop52.6
End57.6
blue by 2.0
610
#5
123.60.9
123.0123.8
Auto15.5
Teleop57.6
End50.5
Second
118.80.3
117.7117.4
Auto19.4
Teleop54.2
End45.2
red by 3.9
114.90.9
114.3115.2
Auto9.2
Teleop59.3
End46.3
Third
4902
#28
40.40.4
39.038.6
Auto4.1
Teleop28.7
End7.6
blue by 8.7
4595
#24
49.00.9
48.449.3
Auto4.5
Teleop28.6
End15.9