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Red196
669657.2
466289.3
5970108.2
Blue195
644351.9
469277.7
381252.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2831690100200400500600196195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.21.3
107.8106.5
Auto12.7
Teleop47.9
End47.6
red by 30.5
4692
#14
77.70.4
75.375.7
Auto4.7
Teleop34.4
End38.6
Second
89.31.3
88.987.6
Auto8.9
Teleop37.1
End43.3
red by 36.6
3812
#16
52.70.4
50.350.7
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End15.1
Third
6696
#20
57.21.3
56.855.5
Auto7.6
Teleop30.4
End19.2
red by 5.3
6443
#28
51.90.4
49.550.0
Auto3.0
Teleop22.2
End26.7