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Red259
281191.0
597762.6
466289.3
Blue185
200249.6
313162.0
289868.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2371010200300400500259185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#11
91.03.1
95.398.4
Auto9.6
Teleop42.3
End39.1
red by 22.9
2898
#23
68.14.7
40.044.7
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End30.2
Second
89.33.1
59.762.8
Auto8.9
Teleop37.1
End43.3
red by 27.3
3131
#10
62.04.7
31.836.5
Auto3.3
Teleop32.9
End25.8
Third
5977
#18
62.63.1
52.155.2
Auto2.1
Teleop31.3
End29.2
red by 13.1
2002
#29
49.64.7
42.547.2
Auto7.4
Teleop31.7
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed