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Red200
263579.9
289868.1
643756.1
Blue282
597582.2
241157.3
466289.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361830100300400200282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2635
#17
79.93.9
65.669.5
Auto11.1
Teleop32.4
End36.4
blue by 9.4
89.37.6
62.870.4
Auto8.9
Teleop37.1
End43.3
Second
2898
#23
68.13.9
44.748.6
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End30.2
blue by 14.1
5975
#13
82.27.6
80.287.9
Auto9.3
Teleop40.5
End32.5
Third
6437
#19
56.13.9
25.629.5
Auto9.3
Teleop30.4
End16.4
blue by 1.2
57.37.6
24.432.1
Auto3.6
Teleop29.5
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed