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Red240
545099.2
634396.1
381252.7
Blue200
289868.1
237483.7
669657.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2371510100200300400500240200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
99.21.4
102.2103.6
Auto10.9
Teleop44.9
End43.3
red by 15.5
2374
#22
83.72.6
60.863.4
Auto9.5
Teleop50.8
End23.4
Second
96.11.4
80.281.6
Auto6.8
Teleop45.3
End44.0
red by 28.0
2898
#23
68.12.6
57.059.7
Auto8.5
Teleop29.4
End30.2
Third
3812
#16
52.71.4
31.733.1
Auto11.6
Teleop26.0
End15.1
blue by 4.5
6696
#20
57.22.6
37.640.2
Auto7.6
Teleop30.4
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed