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Red310
313162.0
263579.9
237483.7
Blue260
151052.8
3024101.5
597762.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions201209100150250300350400310260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#22
83.76.2
64.170.3
Auto9.5
Teleop50.8
End23.4
blue by 17.8
101.53.8
88.292.0
Auto11.9
Teleop46.7
End43.0
Second
2635
#17
79.96.2
77.683.8
Auto11.1
Teleop32.4
End36.4
red by 17.3
5977
#18
62.63.8
56.860.6
Auto2.1
Teleop31.3
End29.2
Third
3131
#10
62.06.2
50.556.7
Auto3.3
Teleop32.9
End25.8
red by 9.2
1510
#21
52.83.8
52.956.7
Auto6.8
Teleop31.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed