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Red185
237483.7
313162.0
597582.2
Blue210
263579.9
634396.1
597762.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24926204006008001,0001,200185210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2374
#22
83.71.2
87.185.9
Auto9.5
Teleop50.8
End23.4
blue by 12.4
96.10.8
98.898.0
Auto6.8
Teleop45.3
End44.0
Second
5975
#13
82.21.2
85.684.4
Auto9.3
Teleop40.5
End32.5
red by 2.3
2635
#17
79.90.8
82.681.8
Auto11.1
Teleop32.4
End36.4
Third
3131
#10
62.01.2
65.364.2
Auto3.3
Teleop32.9
End25.8
blue by 0.7
5977
#18
62.60.8
65.364.5
Auto2.1
Teleop31.3
End29.2