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Red371
644586.4
142597.1
4488109.7
Blue215
411068.5
519872.5
466262.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3212060100400500371215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.70.7
108.3109.0
Auto20.3
Teleop48.5
End41.0
red by 37.3
72.50.1
75.175.2
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End34.8
Second
97.10.7
95.796.4
Auto7.8
Teleop51.2
End38.2
red by 28.6
68.50.1
71.171.2
Auto7.2
Teleop34.5
End26.8
Third
6445
#14
86.40.7
85.085.7
Auto7.6
Teleop25.4
End53.4
red by 24.4
4662
#20
62.00.1
64.664.7
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End29.3