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Red263
644586.4
142597.1
4488109.7
Blue260
95786.9
546877.5
237475.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307241100200400500263260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
109.70.4
106.0105.6
Auto20.3
Teleop48.5
End41.0
red by 22.9
957
#16
86.90.4
86.086.4
Auto7.4
Teleop40.2
End39.2
Second
97.10.4
93.493.0
Auto7.8
Teleop51.2
End38.2
red by 19.6
5468
#13
77.50.4
76.777.1
Auto8.7
Teleop33.3
End35.5
Third
6445
#14
86.40.4
82.782.3
Auto7.6
Teleop25.4
End53.4
red by 11.4
2374
#17
75.00.4
74.274.6
Auto9.5
Teleop47.0
End18.6