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Red235
469270.2
99792.0
299095.6
Blue318
95578.6
281197.0
508581.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2722540100200300400500235318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#18
95.60.5
94.994.5
Auto11.8
Teleop44.6
End39.2
blue by 1.5
97.01.5
92.594.1
Auto5.4
Teleop41.1
End50.5
Second
997
#5
92.00.5
91.390.9
Auto10.1
Teleop47.1
End34.8
red by 10.3
5085
#23
81.71.5
77.278.7
Auto12.9
Teleop36.7
End32.1
Third
4692
#30
70.20.5
69.569.1
Auto4.0
Teleop30.1
End36.1
blue by 8.4
955
#21
78.61.5
74.075.6
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End39.1