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Red255
645634.7
84771.9
2550111.9
Blue300
411068.5
519872.5
466262.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2291870100300400500255300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#11
111.91.0
109.7110.6
Auto7.6
Teleop49.0
End55.3
red by 39.5
72.52.6
65.768.3
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End34.8
Second
847
#3
71.91.0
69.670.6
Auto8.6
Teleop35.3
End27.9
red by 3.4
68.52.6
61.864.4
Auto7.2
Teleop34.5
End26.8
Third
6456
#34
34.71.0
32.433.4
Auto8.6
Teleop20.3
End5.8
blue by 27.4
4662
#20
62.02.6
55.357.9
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End29.3