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Red180
412727.7
151033.8
142597.1
Blue165
519872.5
313123.4
411068.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15215750100200250180165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.12.0
76.378.4
Auto7.8
Teleop51.2
End38.2
red by 24.7
72.51.0
50.451.5
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End34.8
Second
1510
#29
33.83.4
34.437.8
Auto4.4
Teleop30.3
End-0.9
blue by 34.8
68.51.0
61.963.0
Auto7.2
Teleop34.5
End26.8
Third
4127
#27
27.73.4
38.642.0
Auto2.1
Teleop26.1
End-0.5
red by 4.2
3131
#36
23.41.7
32.234.0
Auto3.6
Teleop21.0
End-1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed