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Red250
281197.0
644586.4
151033.8
Blue145
95578.6
413237.8
200246.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions180188050100150250300350400250145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
97.05.2
72.777.9
Auto5.4
Teleop41.1
End50.5
red by 18.5
955
#21
78.62.2
82.880.7
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End39.1
Second
6445
#14
86.45.2
67.672.7
Auto7.6
Teleop25.4
End53.4
red by 39.8
2002
#31
46.63.6
40.536.8
Auto4.7
Teleop27.9
End14.0
Third
1510
#29
33.88.6
32.240.8
Auto4.4
Teleop30.3
End-0.9
blue by 4.0
4132
#33
37.83.6
54.350.6
Auto7.3
Teleop22.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed