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Red140
151033.8
313123.4
154088.6
Blue285
281197.0
597088.4
289839.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17018850100150250300350140285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88.61.6
83.682.0
Auto11.0
Teleop35.0
End42.6
blue by 8.4
97.07.2
77.985.1
Auto5.4
Teleop41.1
End50.5
Second
1510
#29
33.82.7
40.838.1
Auto4.4
Teleop30.3
End-0.9
blue by 54.6
5970
#12
88.412.1
67.079.0
Auto8.2
Teleop36.8
End43.4
Third
3131
#36
23.42.7
39.636.9
Auto3.6
Teleop21.0
End-1.2
blue by 16.4
2898
#26
39.912.1
31.643.7
Auto6.7
Teleop24.5
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed