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Red180
299095.6
669641.8
2550111.9
Blue265
142597.1
519872.5
4488109.7
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274276200250300350180265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2550
#11
111.95.7
112.4106.8
Auto7.6
Teleop49.0
End55.3
red by 2.2
109.70.5
104.8105.3
Auto20.3
Teleop48.5
End41.0
Second
2990
#18
95.65.7
102.096.3
Auto11.8
Teleop44.6
End39.2
blue by 1.6
97.10.5
90.891.2
Auto7.8
Teleop51.2
End38.2
Third
6696
#25
41.86.9
50.643.7
Auto2.0
Teleop29.5
End10.3
blue by 30.7
72.50.5
62.563.0
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End34.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed