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Red318
404384.7
75372.4
597088.4
Blue265
411068.5
519872.5
466262.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672050100300400500318265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5970
#12
88.41.6
88.490.0
Auto8.2
Teleop36.8
End43.4
red by 16.0
72.51.4
72.473.8
Auto9.8
Teleop27.8
End34.8
Second
4043
#19
84.71.6
84.686.3
Auto13.2
Teleop38.0
End33.4
red by 16.1
68.51.4
68.569.8
Auto7.2
Teleop34.5
End26.8
Third
753
#10
72.41.6
72.374.0
Auto6.5
Teleop25.4
End40.4
red by 10.3
4662
#20
62.01.4
62.063.3
Auto5.8
Teleop26.9
End29.3