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Red105
154074.9
135940.9
367485.4
Blue149
142575.9
291577.6
247175.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions172184050100150250300350400105149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
85.46.7
56.049.4
Auto9.8
Teleop39.3
End36.3
red by 7.8
2915
#14
77.62.7
49.747.0
Auto4.8
Teleop31.6
End41.2
Second
1540
#21
74.96.7
69.863.1
Auto11.1
Teleop31.0
End32.8
blue by 1.0
1425
#13
75.92.7
64.161.4
Auto4.7
Teleop34.5
End36.7
Third
1359
#23
40.96.7
39.132.5
Auto6.5
Teleop23.1
End11.3
blue by 34.2
75.12.7
59.656.9
Auto6.6
Teleop37.0
End31.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed