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Red185
363657.3
404373.4
95579.2
Blue144
154074.9
252150.5
643730.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16315650100200250185144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#19
79.23.2
52.355.5
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End44.5
red by 4.4
1540
#21
74.90.6
68.167.5
Auto11.1
Teleop31.0
End32.8
Second
4043
#15
73.43.5
57.360.8
Auto7.0
Teleop29.7
End36.7
red by 22.9
2521
#32
50.50.6
42.742.1
Auto7.0
Teleop29.0
End14.5
Third
3636
#29
57.33.5
44.347.7
Auto0.0
Teleop25.5
End31.8
red by 27.1
6437
#24
30.20.6
38.738.1
Auto5.6
Teleop20.1
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed