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Red140
263560.5
404373.4
273334.8
Blue190
363657.3
646525.4
634383.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175111050150200250300350140190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#15
73.41.8
60.859.0
Auto7.0
Teleop29.7
End36.7
blue by 9.8
6343
#18
83.27.8
52.260.0
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
Second
2635
#20
60.51.8
64.562.8
Auto7.7
Teleop25.2
End27.6
red by 3.2
3636
#29
57.37.8
47.755.6
Auto0.0
Teleop25.5
End31.8
Third
2733
#31
34.81.8
31.830.0
Auto1.7
Teleop20.8
End12.3
red by 9.4
6465
#38
25.47.8
14.522.3
Auto4.0
Teleop18.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed