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Red165
95772.4
135940.9
263560.5
Blue154
367322.9
143270.7
154074.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157167050100200250300350165154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
957
#12
72.41.3
52.954.2
Auto4.3
Teleop34.2
End33.9
blue by 2.4
1540
#21
74.90.3
65.565.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.0
End32.8
Second
2635
#20
60.51.3
58.960.2
Auto7.7
Teleop25.2
End27.6
blue by 10.2
70.70.3
63.262.9
Auto8.6
Teleop36.7
End25.4
Third
1359
#23
40.91.3
38.439.7
Auto6.5
Teleop23.1
End11.3
red by 18.0
3673
#40
22.90.3
28.828.5
Auto1.4
Teleop16.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed