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Red180
95579.2
508570.9
644568.9
Blue170
634383.2
644332.6
645640.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1631150200300400500600180170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
955
#19
79.24.9
57.352.5
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End44.5
blue by 4.0
6343
#18
83.23.2
47.550.7
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
Second
70.94.9
43.939.0
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End31.5
red by 30.3
6456
#28
40.63.2
35.038.2
Auto8.6
Teleop20.5
End11.5
Third
68.94.9
47.542.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.1
End42.9
red by 36.3
6443
#35
32.63.2
33.837.0
Auto3.3
Teleop24.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed