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Red305
634383.2
508570.9
95772.4
Blue309
95579.2
367485.4
154074.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234229150200250300305309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#18
83.21.9
80.782.6
Auto6.3
Teleop36.7
End40.3
blue by 2.1
85.42.0
78.880.8
Auto9.8
Teleop39.3
End36.3
Second
957
#12
72.41.9
69.971.8
Auto4.3
Teleop34.2
End33.9
blue by 6.8
955
#19
79.22.0
72.774.7
Auto8.9
Teleop25.8
End44.5
Third
70.91.9
68.470.3
Auto9.7
Teleop29.7
End31.5
blue by 3.9
1540
#21
74.92.0
68.470.3
Auto11.1
Teleop31.0
End32.8