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Red295
395471.7
2252112.0
35998.8
Blue307
605488.4
170861.8
395763.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2982100100400500295307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.00.5
108.1108.6
Auto16.4
Teleop47.9
End47.7
red by 23.6
6054
#17
88.42.4
87.489.8
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End47.3
Second
359
#4
98.80.5
94.995.5
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 35.0
3957
#25
63.92.4
62.965.2
Auto6.2
Teleop39.8
End17.9
Third
3954
#36
71.70.6
67.468.0
Auto6.1
Teleop36.4
End29.2
red by 9.9
1708
#11
61.82.1
60.963.0
Auto5.3
Teleop31.5
End25.0