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Red195
499192.5
260343.4
35998.8
Blue205
351174.6
605488.4
349281.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2111420100300400195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#4
98.80.4
94.294.6
Auto9.4
Teleop48.6
End40.8
red by 10.4
6054
#17
88.46.7
49.756.5
Auto10.0
Teleop31.1
End47.3
Second
4991
#14
92.50.4
51.151.5
Auto8.2
Teleop37.3
End47.0
red by 10.9
3492
#10
81.66.7
50.256.9
Auto10.8
Teleop36.3
End34.5
Third
2603
#31
43.40.4
45.946.4
Auto4.5
Teleop25.9
End13.0
blue by 31.2
74.66.7
44.551.2
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End37.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed