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Red202
415045.6
350478.6
144105.3
Blue175
641451.2
395763.9
30289.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372030100300400500202175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
144
#19
105.31.2
103.0101.7
Auto12.7
Teleop40.8
End51.8
red by 15.9
302
#21
89.44.2
86.682.3
Auto6.5
Teleop46.8
End36.2
Second
78.61.6
76.374.7
Auto3.5
Teleop45.4
End29.8
red by 14.7
3957
#25
63.94.2
61.857.6
Auto6.2
Teleop39.8
End17.9
Third
4150
#32
45.61.6
41.239.6
Auto4.5
Teleop23.7
End17.4
blue by 5.6
6414
#29
51.24.2
49.245.0
Auto9.5
Teleop23.8
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed