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Red215
203105.9
44983.5
542159.0
Blue175
2590107.9
1676112.8
43390.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24933905001,0001,5002,000215175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop52.5
End37.0
blue by 6.9
1676
Unranked
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop51.8
End46.4
Second
449
Unranked
83.50.0
83.583.5
Auto6.8
Teleop36.3
End40.3
blue by 24.4
2590
Unranked
107.90.0
107.9107.9
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3
Third
5421
Unranked
59.00.0
59.059.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.9
End25.1
blue by 31.0
433
Unranked
90.00.0
90.090.0
Auto9.5
Teleop39.9
End40.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
17%Rotor odds59%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds2%Pressure odds