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Red180
32163.1
43390.0
31698.9
Blue215
19394.7
27295.9
44983.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions278276200250300350180215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
Unranked
98.90.0
98.998.9
Auto9.0
Teleop46.4
End43.5
red by 3.0
272
Unranked
95.90.0
95.995.9
Auto13.8
Teleop45.6
End36.4
Second
433
Unranked
90.00.0
90.090.0
Auto9.5
Teleop39.9
End40.6
blue by 4.8
193
Unranked
94.70.0
94.794.7
Auto8.3
Teleop52.7
End33.7
Third
321
Unranked
63.10.0
63.163.1
Auto9.8
Teleop33.3
End19.9
blue by 20.4
449
Unranked
83.50.0
83.583.5
Auto6.8
Teleop36.3
End40.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor odds67%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds