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Red265
1676112.8
27295.9
542159.0
Blue185
43390.0
2607102.9
3929100.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27731405001,0001,5002,000265185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1676
Unranked
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto14.7
Teleop51.8
End46.4
red by 9.9
2607
Unranked
102.90.0
102.9102.9
Auto10.5
Teleop55.1
End37.3
Second
272
Unranked
95.90.0
95.995.9
Auto13.8
Teleop45.6
End36.4
blue by 4.7
3929
Unranked
100.60.0
100.6100.6
Auto9.9
Teleop53.7
End37.0
Third
5421
Unranked
59.00.0
59.059.0
Auto5.9
Teleop27.9
End25.1
blue by 31.0
433
Unranked
90.00.0
90.090.0
Auto9.5
Teleop39.9
End40.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
33%Rotor odds59%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds