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Red255
428560.2
260780.9
10376.8
Blue255
259076.8
397483.3
253963.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2192380100300400500600700255255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.9
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End37.2
blue by 2.4
83.3
Auto9.8
Teleop39.8
End33.7
Second
103
#7
76.8
Auto11.6
Teleop42.4
End22.8
blue by 0.1
2590
#13
76.8
Auto8.7
Teleop35.4
End32.7
Third
4285
#18
60.2
Auto6.9
Teleop30.1
End23.2
blue by 3.3
2539
#17
63.5
Auto7.2
Teleop29.9
End26.4