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Red231
445454.0
34172.9
589590.8
Blue195
121876.3
218064.7
114363.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218217190200210230240250231195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.80.7
87.287.8
Auto10.2
Teleop39.5
End41.2
red by 14.5
1218
#22
76.30.3
76.976.6
Auto9.4
Teleop30.1
End36.8
Second
341
#2
72.90.7
69.369.9
Auto6.5
Teleop31.0
End35.5
red by 8.2
2180
#12
64.70.3
65.365.0
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End30.9
Third
4454
#24
54.00.7
50.451.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.7
End14.9
blue by 9.1
1143
#15
63.10.3
63.763.4
Auto5.7
Teleop40.2
End17.2