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Red240
253963.5
397483.3
259076.8
Blue196
540164.6
245852.3
540436.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331450100200300400500240196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.2
78.378.4
Auto9.8
Teleop39.8
End33.7
red by 18.7
5401
#11
64.61.3
63.364.6
Auto12.0
Teleop36.0
End16.6
Second
2590
#13
76.80.2
71.872.0
Auto8.7
Teleop35.4
End32.7
red by 24.5
2458
#10
52.31.3
51.152.3
Auto5.1
Teleop34.4
End12.9
Third
2539
#17
63.50.2
58.558.6
Auto7.2
Teleop29.9
End26.4
red by 27.2
5404
#27
36.31.3
35.036.3
Auto5.0
Teleop24.0
End7.3