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Red100
42351.4
179126.3
209527.9
Blue136
259076.8
392969.2
540164.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115190050150250300350400100136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
423
#36
51.42.2
50.348.1
Auto4.8
Teleop28.9
End17.8
blue by 25.4
2590
#13
76.83.8
65.661.8
Auto8.7
Teleop35.4
End32.7
Second
2095
#34
27.92.2
45.643.4
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End-1.1
blue by 41.4
3929
#23
69.23.8
50.446.6
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End26.8
Third
1791
#33
26.32.2
23.921.7
Auto5.0
Teleop23.1
End-1.8
blue by 38.4
5401
#11
64.63.8
54.250.4
Auto12.0
Teleop36.0
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed