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Red135
545748.2
114363.1
209527.9
Blue205
10376.8
42351.4
589590.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1462150100300400135205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1143
#15
63.11.3
68.367.0
Auto5.7
Teleop40.2
End17.2
blue by 27.7
90.81.0
80.181.1
Auto10.2
Teleop39.5
End41.2
Second
5457
#20
48.21.3
48.947.5
Auto5.4
Teleop32.4
End10.4
blue by 28.6
103
#7
76.81.0
64.765.7
Auto11.6
Teleop42.4
End22.8
Third
2095
#34
27.91.3
31.430.1
Auto5.8
Teleop23.2
End-1.1
blue by 23.6
423
#36
51.41.0
49.850.8
Auto4.8
Teleop28.9
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed