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Red311
540786.6
20461.8
121891.6
Blue308
10395.8
4342108.7
542069.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24628702004006008001,000311308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#13
91.61.6
91.392.9
Auto10.2
Teleop32.9
End48.6
blue by 17.0
108.70.9
106.1107.0
Auto13.9
Teleop40.1
End54.7
Second
5407
#19
86.61.6
86.387.9
Auto7.7
Teleop41.1
End37.8
blue by 9.2
103
#5
95.80.9
93.394.2
Auto15.4
Teleop45.1
End35.3
Third
204
#9
61.81.6
61.463.0
Auto9.2
Teleop27.6
End24.9
blue by 8.1
5420
#10
69.90.9
67.468.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End27.4