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Red224
42365.4
22596.8
259098.5
Blue285
121891.6
20461.8
540786.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285235100200400500224285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#15
98.50.9
99.398.5
Auto11.8
Teleop46.1
End40.6
red by 6.8
1218
#13
91.61.2
88.389.5
Auto10.2
Teleop32.9
End48.6
Second
225
#1
96.80.9
97.796.8
Auto17.7
Teleop51.9
End27.2
red by 10.1
5407
#19
86.61.2
83.384.5
Auto7.7
Teleop41.1
End37.8
Third
423
#22
65.40.9
66.365.4
Auto6.0
Teleop26.4
End33.0
red by 3.6
204
#9
61.81.2
58.459.6
Auto9.2
Teleop27.6
End24.9