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Red255
30443.9
540475.9
34194.5
Blue285
43396.4
181169.2
48699.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103070100400500600255285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
94.51.0
93.794.7
Auto13.1
Teleop44.6
End36.7
blue by 5.0
486
#27
99.50.2
103.8104.0
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End40.4
Second
75.91.0
75.276.1
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End29.0
blue by 20.4
433
#23
96.40.2
100.6100.8
Auto8.0
Teleop41.1
End47.3
Third
304
#31
43.91.0
43.144.0
Auto6.4
Teleop34.7
End2.8
blue by 25.3
69.20.2
73.573.6
Auto6.1
Teleop38.6
End24.5