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Red206
542069.9
4342108.7
10395.8
Blue195
20371.5
445472.6
149583.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291231100200400500206195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.71.4
106.5105.1
Auto13.9
Teleop40.1
End54.7
red by 25.2
1495
#20
83.40.7
83.382.5
Auto4.7
Teleop29.2
End49.5
Second
103
#5
95.81.4
93.692.2
Auto15.4
Teleop45.1
End35.3
red by 23.2
72.60.7
72.471.7
Auto10.5
Teleop26.6
End35.6
Third
5420
#10
69.91.4
67.766.3
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End27.4
blue by 1.6
203
#25
71.50.8
71.370.5
Auto11.3
Teleop33.8
End26.4