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Red256
209547.7
34194.5
181169.2
Blue201
249574.3
30443.9
149583.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18817350100150250300256201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
341
#17
94.55.3
77.783.1
Auto13.1
Teleop44.6
End36.7
red by 11.0
1495
#20
83.42.0
70.372.3
Auto4.7
Teleop29.2
End49.5
Second
69.25.3
67.072.3
Auto6.1
Teleop38.6
End24.5
blue by 5.1
2495
#14
74.33.3
63.867.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.2
End30.1
Third
2095
#28
47.75.3
31.636.9
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End19.6
red by 3.8
304
#31
43.92.0
31.933.9
Auto6.4
Teleop34.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed