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Red280
540475.9
10395.8
397499.4
Blue195
542069.9
622681.9
209547.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2761380100200400500600280195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#11
99.40.8
97.398.1
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End44.2
red by 17.5
6226
#12
81.93.0
65.968.9
Auto7.4
Teleop27.7
End46.8
Second
103
#5
95.80.8
85.486.2
Auto15.4
Teleop45.1
End35.3
red by 25.9
5420
#10
69.93.0
47.750.8
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End27.4
Third
75.90.8
60.461.2
Auto9.6
Teleop37.4
End29.0
red by 28.3
2095
#28
47.73.0
35.939.0
Auto6.2
Teleop21.8
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed