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Red235
249574.3
397499.4
48479.6
Blue216
445472.6
48699.5
20371.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249280100200400500235216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#11
99.40.4
95.695.3
Auto7.1
Teleop48.1
End44.2
blue by 0.1
486
#27
99.53.0
102.599.5
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End40.4
Second
484
#4
79.60.4
67.066.7
Auto12.7
Teleop40.3
End26.6
red by 7.0
72.63.0
78.575.4
Auto10.5
Teleop26.6
End35.6
Third
2495
#14
74.30.6
78.277.6
Auto12.0
Teleop32.2
End30.1
red by 2.8
203
#25
71.54.7
80.675.9
Auto11.3
Teleop33.8
End26.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed