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Red364
43396.4
22596.8
116839.3
Blue156
34194.5
549039.1
518179.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions225234150200250300350364156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
96.87.7
90.798.4
Auto17.7
Teleop51.9
End27.2
red by 2.3
341
#17
94.54.3
93.188.8
Auto13.1
Teleop44.6
End36.7
Second
433
#23
96.46.3
92.198.3
Auto8.0
Teleop41.1
End47.3
red by 17.1
5181
#18
79.34.3
86.382.0
Auto11.7
Teleop40.9
End26.7
Third
1168
#26
39.36.3
32.138.3
Auto7.2
Teleop17.5
End14.6
red by 0.2
5490
#29
39.14.3
41.336.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.9
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed