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Red185
48699.5
181169.2
43396.4
Blue356
10395.8
4342108.7
542069.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2872750100200400500600185356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
486
#27
99.51.9
101.499.5
Auto13.3
Teleop45.9
End40.4
blue by 9.2
108.71.4
104.7106.1
Auto13.9
Teleop40.1
End54.7
Second
433
#23
96.41.9
98.396.4
Auto8.0
Teleop41.1
End47.3
red by 0.5
103
#5
95.81.4
91.993.3
Auto15.4
Teleop45.1
End35.3
Third
69.21.9
71.169.2
Auto6.1
Teleop38.6
End24.5
blue by 0.7
5420
#10
69.91.4
66.067.4
Auto10.3
Teleop32.2
End27.4